シーア派分割統治戦略大失敗でイランはヒズボラにアメリカ中東支配終焉語らす

転送、転載、引用、訳出、大歓迎！

　いやはや、そこらの体制べったり小雀らが、いくら何でも、「アメリカ勝った」とまでは言えずに「復興云々」などと、欲得づくでモゴモゴしてる間に、イラクの聖地カルバラから、猛然と反米の狼煙が燃え上がり、世界中に広がり始めた。

　ワシントンとやらには、ネオコンが勢い盛り返しとか、シャロンが強気とか言う向きもいるようだが、そこにも、すぐに、カルバラ爆発の津波が高々と押し寄せるであろう。

　私は、阿修羅戦争32掲示板投稿の電子記録によれば、5日前の4/19/01:26:49より以前に以下の通信を発した。

　阿修羅戦争32掲示板には、本日(2003/04/24)午後、以下の連続投稿が現れた。

1）・・・・・・・・・・
-----　引用ここから　------------------------------
米軍撤退シーア巡礼CNN

「米軍撤退」求めるシーア派　巡礼でも「反米」訴え　［ＣＮＮ］
http://www.asyura.com/0304/war32/msg/850.html
投稿者 あっしら 日時 2003 年 4 月 24 日 16:29:57:

2003.04.24
Web posted at: 12:15 JST

- CNN
イラク・カルバラ（ＣＮＮ）　イラク国民の６割以上を占めながらフセイン政権の弾圧を受けてきたイスラム教シーア派が、政権崩壊後の同国で存在感を増している。米英軍はシーア派勢力を「フセイン打倒」をめざす同志とみてきたが、その目的を果たした今、早期撤退を求めて反米色を強めるシーア派の動きに戸惑いを隠せずにいる。

イラク中部のカルバラで２２日から２３日にかけて行われたシーア派の宗教行事には、各地から教徒２００万人以上が集まったとされる。フセイン政権下で厳しく制限されていた行事の復活を喜ぶ声と共に、反米のスローガンが目立った。「アメリカにノーを」「イスラエルにノーを」「アメリカに死を」――「イラク解放」を掲げて戦ってきた米軍兵が聞けば耳を疑うようなシュプレヒコールが上がる。

シーア派側の要請により、米英軍兵士は郊外まで退いて行事を見守った。巡礼者の１人は「米英軍はもうすることがないのだから、帰国すべきだ。イラクの将来はわれわれ自身が決める」と語気を強める。沿道で売られるシーア派指導者の肖像のうち、最も人気を集めたのは、イラン革命を率いて反米政権を樹立させた故ホメイニ師の写真だった。

イランに本部を置くシーア派亡命組織「イラク・イスラム革命最高評議会（ＳＣＩＲＩ）は２２日、米英軍の早期撤退を求める声明を出し、「われわれは独立しなければならない。外国による統治は拒否する」と訴えている。

シーア派勢力がイラク再建に大きな影響を及ぼすことは確実な情勢で、米国も配慮を迫られることになりそうだ。シーア派指導者らは今のところ、閣僚などの地位を求めるより草の根の運動を進めたいとの意思を示しているが、内部では指導者間の主導権争いが激化するなど、政治参加をにらんだ動きが加速している。

http://www.cnn.co.jp/top/K2003042400501.html
-----　引用ここまで　------------------------------

---

2）・・・・・・・・・・
-----　引用ここから　------------------------------
シーア過小評価毎日

ブッシュ政権：シーア派の力を過小評価　米紙報道 ［毎日新聞］
http://www.asyura.com/0304/war32/msg/857.html
投稿者 あっしら 日時 2003 年 4 月 24 日 16:45:23:

(回答先: 「米軍撤退」求めるシーア派　巡礼でも「反米」訴え　［ＣＮＮ］ 投稿者 あっしら 日時 2003 年 4 月 24 日 16:29:57)

　【ワシントン中島哲夫】２３日付の米紙ワシントン・ポストは、米ブッシュ政権の当局者らがイスラム教シーア派の組織力を過小評価し、イスラム原理主義勢力がイラクの政権を握る可能性に対処する準備が出来ていなかったと報じた。

　シーア派はイラク住民の６割強を占めているが、３割程度のイスラム教スンニ派を支持勢力とするフセイン政権下で冷遇されてきた。同政権の崩壊とともにシーア派のパワーが爆発的に広がり、反米デモや国内の聖地への巡礼が大規模化している。巡礼にはやはりシーア派のイラン国民も加わっているとされる。

　ポスト紙によると、ブッシュ政権の一部当局者はシーア派亡命イラク人であるチャラビ・イラク国民会議（ＩＮＣ）代表の世俗的な民主主義路線に目を奪われ、他の当局者らはフセイン政権打倒に熱中して、その後の宗教と政治の力学に注意が及ばなかった。

　米国は７９年に親米パーレビ王制を倒したシーア派のイラン革命を憎み、イラン・イラク戦争ではイラク寄りの立場をとった。こうした歴史的経緯ににもかかわらず、フセイン政権崩壊後のシーア派原理主義の台頭を想定していなかったというポスト紙の報道が事実なら、驚くべき浅慮ということになろう。

［毎日新聞４月２３日］ ( 2003-04-23-23:54 )

http://www.mainichi.co.jp/news/flash/kokusai/20030424k0000m030137000c.html
-----　引用ここまで　------------------------------

　この驚くべきか、あきれ果てると言うべきか、大失敗の基本的な原因について、私は、すでに2年前のアフガン侵略開始に際して、平家の没落に因む次の格言と表現を紹介している。

「満つれば欠くる世のならい」
「あおのけにのけぞる」

　今、アメリカは「帝国」の幻影を追いながら、この法則的な没落の奈落への道を辿り始めたのである。

　私の脳裏には、直ちに、アメリカが模範と仰ぐローマ帝国の格言、「分割し統治せよ」が浮んだ。この支配の原則は、中国デモ日本でも、長い間、通用してきた。

　しかし、裸の猿の社会、もしくは国際社会は、少しづつ、進化だか退化だか変化だか、とこかく状況を異にし出したのである。情報の流通は、それを加速している。

「スンニ」と「シイア」、もしくは「アラブ人の国のイラク」と「ペルシャ人の国のイラン」を「分割し統治」し続けてきた積もりの傲慢なアングロ・アメリカンは、情報社会の先端を走っていると、錯覚していたのであろう。英語と称するデタラメ言語の国際化も、彼らの盲信を支えてきた。ところが、何とも皮肉なことに、イラクのアラブ人と、イランのペルシャ人、アフガニスタンのパシュトゥン人が、いわば敵性言語の英語で、電網交信するに至ったのである。

　ソ連は崩壊したが、ロシア人が、この交信の輪に加わっている。日本人は不器用だが、それでも、いや、66歳の私でも、英語情報の転送ぐらいはできる。呵々。

　てなことで、「分割し統治せよ」(divide et empere)を電網検索したら、ああ、何とも痛快な記事が出てきたのである。

　簡略に言うと、すでに3週前の4月7日に、イラクのロシア大使が、「アメリカは「分割し統治せよの原則に齧り付いた」と皮肉っていたのである。

-----　引用ここから　------------------------------
Iraqi Ambassador to Russia Proud of His Nation/American politicians staked on the Divide et Empere principle/invasion stalled/Pravda/04-07

http://english.pravda.ru/main/2003/04/07/45712.html

Pravda.RU:Top Stories:More in detail
16:24 2003-04-07
Iraqi Ambassador to Russia Proud of His Nation

"First of all, I would like to thank you for the warm welcome. Being here I feel among friends. I am perfectly acquainted with Russia's Union of Writers as I translated many of the Russian writers before. That was my tribute to the famous Russian writers Leo Tolstoy, Maxim Gorky and Mikhail Sholokhov. The cultures of Russia and Iraq are similar, they are both humane. Once Iraqi poets gathered in a literary society in Baghdad to recite poems about the Stalingrad glory. And now the history is repeating. I'm among the Russian writers and perfectly confident of the solidarity of the Russian people with the Iraqis. And this is not only solidarity on an official level demonstrated by President Putin when he declared Russia's position concerning the US aggression.

President Bush launched the US aggression against my country with a view to propagate democracy there. It makes me indignant that the USA is trying to engraft democracy by sending cruise missiles against Iraq, with B-52 bombing, cluster and electronic bombs, by shedding the blood of Iraqi civilians.

Dear friends, we had been told by Americans before the war that the Iraqi army would surrender to the US divisions, that we would be destroyed within 2-3 days and the Iraqi people would greet American soldiers with smiles and flowers. American politicians staked on the Divide et Empere principle, and they still keep it in mind. Majority of the southern Iraqi population are Shiites. And as long as Saddam Hussein is a Sunite, Americans expected Shiites would rebel against the president, but the expectations failed. The Iraqi people got united in front of the aggression, and despite the coalition's power advantage, the invasion stalled.

The Iraqi people have raised a club of people's war against the interventionists. What does it mean? It means, the USA and Great Britain are fighting not against Saddam's regime but against the Iraqi people. And this fact caught them unawares. At present, the US/UK forces declare that many war planes and tanks were put out of action by the coalition fire. This is the first cause. The second cause is that technical failures have become too frequent in the US/UK armed forces. Weather is another enemy. You know, we believe in God, and Allah and we have no bad weather. In addition, they say they haven't enough financing for the war. In fact, all problems of the interventionists arise from the strong resistance of the Iraqi people.

Many countries expected that Iraqi refugees would immediately flood to other states. A camp for refugees was set up with the help of Americans and the British in Jordan near the Iraq-Jordan borders. But within the first seven days of the war not a single refugee came there. On the contrary, 5,000 Iraqis got back home before yesterday. They got back to fight against the aggressors.

I told Russia's EMERCOM Minister Sergey Shoigu who is sending Russian planes with goods for Iraqi refugees in Iran: "You should spare money of the Russian budget and get the goods back. They will be useful in this country during floods or some other emergency situations, but not for the Iraqi people." Russians and Iraqis are of similar characters: we are patient, persistent and brave. For the sake of our honor we are ready to die standing. And the time will prove it. Now we see that the bombing still continues, but Iraqi people are getting back home. In addition, I would like to say that the refugee camp in Jordan was destroyed with weather conditions. If Sergey Shoigu were a humane person and a real Russian man he would have sent the goods not to Iran but to Iraq. 97% of the killed and the wounded make up civilians.

Americans have never taken part in a real fight. All of their wars were dirty: Beirut, Korea, Yugoslavia, Somalia, Vietnam, Grenada, Afghanistan. And until now, they have failed to achieve any success in Afghanistan. How can they do away with us? And one thing more, pay attention: they have already lost a diplomatic war, political and information wars. On the very first days of the war they declared they managed to seize the port of Umm Qasr. I would like to tell you what Umm Qasr looks like now, it has been turned into the Brest Fortress. There are two streets in the place where 500,000 people live. It's of the size of a Russian provincial center. The coalition forces managed to seize only the berth, the northern part of the city is still ours. Iraqi soldiers who fight all alone are now a nightmare for Americans.

You see, the US propaganda policy is absurd. Every day they are busy with guess-works whether it was Saddam who appeared on TV or his double. They don't know that the Iraqi army and 25 million of Iraqis are Hussein's doubles.

I assure you that Americans have made a Saddam Hussein of each of us. At present, Iraq is the only country defending the honor of the international law, the honor of all honest people in the world. The Iraqi people is not numerous but we have deep and heroic roots in the history which is over 5 thousand years. I have no propaganda machine in the Embassy in Moscow as I have no money for propaganda. But me, as well as other officials in the Embassy have been turned into enemies to the USA. Each of us is treated like Saddam Hussein. The US Department of State asked the Russian Foreign Ministry to evict me from Russia. Russian Foreign Minister Igor Ivanov and President Vladimir Putin got letters saying that the Iraqi ambassador to Moscow posed a real threat to the US's national security. I think that launching of the war against Iraq is a step toward America's political death.

Now, Iraq is a real nightmare for the USA, and this is not because of Saddam Hussein only. He is a democrat, a tyrant, a republican, a religious figure, but it's a very important fact is that the Iraqi people are behind him.

Tank columns of the aggressor are coming to the country since the very first day of the war. The fact that Iraq had American prisoners of war wasn't admitted by the coalition forces at first, they didn't say that Iraq brought their planes down. It was reported, several helicopters were missing. How could it be possible? They were operated by experienced pilots, not babies. As the US troops approach the cities they face strong resistance of our troops. And combat of the regular army is reinforced by a partisan war. They have gone mad, they don't sleep at night. It means they cannot think sane.

Probably, I sound too emotional, sorry. Please understand, I don-t have any anti-American hysteria. America by itself is no absolute evil for us. Tomorrow or next day we will establish any kind of normal relationship with Americans as well as with any other country if evil powers withdraw from the US authority. If the incumbent authority of the USA continues the aggression, they can use weapons of mass destruction as it will be a great problem to explain immense war spending to the American people. They say that Saddam Hussein has weapons of mass destruction. They have no evidence, only their confidence. So, it's not a problem for Americans at all to use weapons of mass destruction with a view to prove their confidence.

The Iraqi people are suffering now, they see blood and tears everywhere. I feel a lump in my throat when I see sufferings of my people on TV. Thousands of Russians come to the Iraqi Embassy in Moscow every day to express their sympathy and support to Iraq. I say that we feel confidence. I have never had such pride for my country as I do now. I consider myself quite a different man now, I feel myself more significant.

Thank you very much, I wish success and good health to Russian writers. Recently, the Iraqi people feel shortage of works by Russian writers for several reasons. But I believe that better times comes, and our countries will be able to establish cultural relationship on a proper level."

Doctor Abbas Khalaf
Iraq Ambassador to Russia

At the meeting in Russia's Union of Writers, chairman of the Union Valery Ganichev said that "the Iraqi people have already won a victory; this is a moral triumph that has won them sympathy of most part of the planet." Valentin Rasputin, the classical author of the modern Russian literature said: "It was God himself who chose the Iraqi people, and you must be proud you've been selected, carry out the rescue mission for the whole of humanity."

Russian writers spoke in support of the demand to bring an action against the presidents of the USA and Great Britain in the International court in the Hague. As the official website of Russia's Union of Writers informs, the idea is being currently considered.

PRAVDA.Ru

Translated by Maria Gousseva
-----　引用ここまで　------------------------------

　さてさて、この状況下、ロシア軍情報部関係者らの電網宝庫には、以下の最新記事が載っていた。

　これも簡略に言えば、アメリカが、シーア派のイスラム教を「国教」とするイランに対して、「イラクに干渉するな」と警告したというのである。

　基本的に、ほとんどが宗教を同じくし、隣国でもあるイランに対して、自分が破壊し尽くした国土の「復興」の協力すらについても、「手も出すな」という気なのであろうか。

-----　引用ここから　------------------------------
ru/U.S. Warns Against Iranian Interference in Iraq/we would oppose any outside interference in Iraq/23.04/WASHINGTON (Reuters)

http://www1.iraqwar.ru/iraq-read_article.php?articleId=3809&lang=en

info@iraqwar.ru
24.04.2003

U.S. Warns Against Iranian Interference in Iraq
23.04.2003 [18:28]

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The United States said on Wednesday Iran has been told not to try to interfere with Iraq's Shi'ite population and advance Iranian interests.

"We've made clear to Iran that we would oppose any outside interference in Iraq's road to democracy," said White House spokesman Ari Fleischer. "Infiltration of agents to destabilize the Shi'ite population would clearly fall into that category."

Fleischer said the message had been sent through "well-known channels of communication" with Iran, with which the United States does not have diplomatic relations.
-----　引用ここまで　------------------------------

　これに対して、イランが、どのような態度を取っているかと、テヘラン・タイムズを覗くと、この「シーア派分割統治戦略」の大失敗に関して、イランの国営通信の位置にある同紙は、アメリカとパレスチナが最も警戒するヒズボラの代表に、この事態が、イラクに止まらず、アメリカ中東支配全体の終焉の始まりだと語らせているのである。

-----　引用ここから　------------------------------
Beginning of Countdown for the End of U.S. Presence/in Iraq, as well as the rest of the Middle East/April 24, 2003/TEHRAN

http://www.tehrantimes.com/Description.asp?Da=4/24/03&Cat=2&Num=019

April 24, 2003

Nasrallah: Arbaein Rituals in Iraq, Beginning of Countdown for the End of U.S. Presence
COMPILED FROM DISPATCHES
TEHRAN -- Secretary General of the Lebanese Hizbullah, Seyed Hassan Nasrallah, stated on Tuesday, that the unprecedented and glorious observance of the Arbaein rituals in Karbala this year, would click the start of a rapid downward spiral for the U.S. presence in Iraq, as well as the rest of the Middle East.

Nasrallah who was speaking on Tuesday night in Beirut at a commemorative service marking Arbaein, the 40th day after the martyrdom of Imam Hussain (AS), compared the passionate observance of the Arbaein ritual in Iraq this year, with those of 1982 in Lebanon.

"In 1982, too, the Lebanese nation's wide participation in the Arbaein rituals prompted the beginning of the strong resistance against the racist Zionists' presence in Lebanon," said Nasrallah. Referring to the shabby developments of the past few weeks in In Iraq, reverberating throughout the rest of the Middle East, the Hizbullah Secretary General emphasized, "The Bush administration had initially aimed at turning its war in Iraq into a war between the Christian and Islamic world. But that satanic plan failed, thanks to the wise stand adopted by the Pope, as well as the alertness of the Islamic alims." Nasrallah said, "Another dreadful U.S. objective in starting a war against Iraq, was to add fuel to the flames of an internal crisis among the country's Muslim sects." He added, "Some circles helped Bush in achieving that goal, by over-emphasizing the mosaic and ethnic divisions of the Iraqi population, but that plot, too, failed - thanks to the alertness and timely moves on the part of the Iraqi Shia leaders and nation."

Warning the regional nations that the U.S. and Israel are together trying to imply the idea in the hearts and minds of the regional nations that they are incapable of resisting in the face of the U.S. will, Nasrallah said, "The Americans tell a big lie about fighting to establish democracy and to safeguard freedoms in Iraq. "They are actually after securing other goals there, and everyone knows it too well to be denied by them," he said

Hundreds of thousands of Shia Muslims flocked to Iraq's holy city of Karbala Wednesday for the climax of a pilgrimage.

The second and last day of the ceremony, outlawed for nearly quarter of a century, was met with protests demanding an end to the U.S.-led occupation.

Iraq's U.S. civil administrator, retired General Jay Garner, meanwhile continued a tour to assess the needs of rebuilding Iraq, neglected during 24 years of Saddam's rule and shattered in three blistering weeks of intense U.S.-led bombing.

Hundreds of thousands of pilgrims, many beating their heads and chests and flogging their backs with chains, converged on the city of karbala, 80 kilometers (50 miles) south of Baghdad, to mourn Imam Hussein (AS), the Prophet Mohammed's grandson, who was beheaded in 680 AD.

Even before the rally was due to start, chants of "No to America and Saddam, yes to Islam" rang out around the city, from which U.S. troops have kept their distance.

"We refuse occupation, we want an elected government that represents the people," organizing committee member Sheikh Raed Haidari said.

"No to An american Government, No to Chalabi," the Shias shouted, referring to Ahmad Chalabi, the pro-U.S. leader of the Iraqi National Congress, who has returned to Iraq after decades of exile.
-----　引用ここまで　------------------------------

　これ以上は蛇足であろう。

　以上。

「イスラエル関与疑惑」関連記事総覧へ
アメリカ「ゲリラ攻撃」関連記事総覧へ

『亜空間通信』2003年04月分へ